Number of Registered Duck Shooters in Victoria as at 15/7/05 by Electorates in the Lower House.

Compiled by ALP Members Opposed to Duck Shooting
(ALP MoDS)

Victoria
Lower House
Electorates

Sitting ALP Member

% of Duck Shooters

% two party preferred ALP vote 2002

% Green vote

2002

ALP Electorates

 

Possible range

(lower % more accurate)

 

 

Albert Park

John Thwaites

0.08%

0.1%

62.62%

17.32%

Altona

Lynn Kosky

1.1%

1.8%

74.69%

8.99%

Ballarat East

Geoff Howard

1.3%

2.4%

57.80%

13.12%

Ballarat West

Karen Overington

0.7%

1.2%

59.00%

6.96%

Bayswater

Peter Lockwood

0.5%

0.9%

52.75%

10.16.%

Bellarine

Lisa Neville

0.9%

1.2%

58.21%

10.60%

Bendigo East

Jacinta Allan

1.2%

2.3%

62.96%

6.66%

Bendigo West

Bob Cameron

1.4%

2.7%

65.94%

10.18%

Bentleigh

Rob Hudson

0.3%

0.4%

54.70%

9.52%

Broadmeadows

John Brumby

0.7%

1.2%

80.78%

4.50%

Brunswick

Carlo Carli

0.8%

1.1%

78.04%

24.34%

Bundoora

Sherryl Garbutt

0.4%

0.8%

67.57%

9.36%

Burwood

Bob Stensholt

0.2%

0.4%

55.08%

11.53%

Carrum

Jenny Lindell

0.2%

0.3%

62.16%

10.51%

Clayton

Hong Lim

0.5%

1.0%

73.84%

7.81%

Cranbourne

Jude Perera

0.4%

0.7%

60.79%

7.84%

Dandenong

J Pandazopoulos

0.4%

0.6%

70.31%

6.30%

Derrimut

Telmo Languiller

1.1%

2.2%

77.30%

n/a

Eltham

Steve Herbert

0.3%

0.6%

54.70%

13.32%

Essendon

Judy Maddigan

0.4%

0.6%

65.92%

12.45%

Evelyn

Heather McTaggart

0.4%

0.7%

50.33%

8.40%

Ferntree Gully

Anne Eckstein

0.2%

0.5%

52.31%

7.72%

Footscray

Bruce Mildenhall

0.4%

0.8%

74.90%

10.15%

Forest Hill

Kristie Marshall

0.4%

0.6%

55.78%

8.91%

Frankston

Alistair Harkness

0.1%

0.2%

56.06%

10.50%

Geelong

Ian Trezise

0.8%

1.7%

58.10%

7.35%

Gembrook

Tammy Lobato

0.7%

1.2%

51.92%

12.78%

Hastings

Rosy Buchanan

0.7%

1.1%

50.81%

9.33%

Ivanhoe

Craig Langdon

0.2%

0.3%

62.49%

12.12%

Keilor

George Seitz

1.3%

2.0%

68.04%

7.59%

Kilsyth

Dympna Beard

0.4%

0.7%

52.23%

10.15%

Kororoit

Andre Haermeyer

1.0%

2.1%

77.05%

n/a

Lara

Peter Loney

1.2%

2.1%

72.34%

6.71%

Lyndhurst

Tim Holding

0.4%

0.7%

75.08%

7.50%

Macedon

Joanne Duncan

0.9%

1.1%

59.25%

10.55%

Melbourne

Bronwyn Pike

0.1%

0.2%

52.34%

24.21%

Melton

Don Nardella

0.8%

1.4%

65.32%

7.40%

Mill Park

Lily D'Ambrioso

0.9%

1.5%

76.78%

6.21%

Mitcham

Tony Robinson

0.2%

0.4%

57.69%

10.58%

Monbulk

James Merlino

0.6%

1.0%

57.82%

15.78%

Mordialloc

Janice Munt

0.3%

0.5%

54.5%

10.09%

Morwell

Brendan Jenkins

1.8%

3.2%

54.96%

5.89%

Mount Waverley

Maxine Morand

0.2%

0.4%

52.26%

8.48%

Mulgrave

Daniel Andrews

0.6%

0.9%

66.22%

6.05%

Narracan

Ian Maxfield

1.2%

2.1%

56.82%

5.94%

Narre Warren North

Luke Donnellan

0.5%

0.9%

59.70%

7.56%

Narre Warren South

Dale Wilson

0.4%

0.8%

62.60%

6.06%

Niddrie

Rob Hulls

1.0%

1.8%

66.60%

7.27%

Northcote

Mary Delahunty

0.5%

0.6%

78.32%

25.41%

Oakleigh

Ann Barker

0.4%

0.8%

65.21%

10.82%

Pascoe Vale

Christine Campbell

0.5%

1.0%

74.20%

8.85%

Prahran

Tony Lupton

0.1%

0.2%

54.31%

18.04%

Preston

Michael Leighton

0.6%

1.1%

75.75%

13.34%

Richmond

Richard Wynne

0.1%

0.1%

75.55%

28.64%

Ripon

Joe Helper

1.7%

2.9%

57.43%

4.75%

Seymour

Ben Hardman

0.9%

1.3%

59.49%

9.73%

South Barwon

Michael Crutchfield

0.5%

0.9%

54.98%

9.33%

Tarneit

Mary Gillett

0.4%

0.9%

67.40%

n/a

Thomastown

Peter Batchelor

0.7%

1.5%

81.74%

7.63%

Williamstown

Steve Bracks

0.5%

0.8%

75.71%

10.24%

Yan Yean

Danielle Green

0.9%

1.5%

58.49%

10.86%

Yuroke

Liz Beattie

0.4%

0.7%

72.88%

n/a

Total ALP

 

0.6%

1.1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liberal Electorates

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bass

Ken Smith

1.1%

1.5%

49.36%

5.38%

Benambra

Tony Plowman

1.2%

1.7%

46.00%

6.96%

Box Hill

Robert Clark

0.2%

0.4%

48.81%

15.70%

Brighton

Louise Asher

0.1%

0.2%

42.59%

15.92%

Bulleen

Nicholas Kotsiras

0.5%

0.8%

47.36%

10.59%

Caulfield

Helen Shardey

0.2%

0.4%

47.67%

15.91%

Doncaster

Victor Perton

0.3%

0.6%

49.24%

9.27%

Hawthorn

Ted Baillieu

0.1%

0.2%

44.30%

19.81%

Kew

Andrew McIntosh

0.2%

0.4%

44.06%

17.37%

Malvern

Robert Doyle

0.1%

0.2%

39.92%

13.42%

Mornington

Robin Cooper

0.2%

0.3%

47.99%

11.36%

Nepean

Martin Dixon

0.4%

0.4%

49.84%

11.34%

Polwarth

Terry Mulder

1.6%

2.2%

40.47%

8.81%

Sandringham

Murray Thompson

0.2%

0.4%

46.97%

13.04%

Scoresby

Kim Wells

0.4%

0.9%

46.68%

7.54%

South West Coast

Denis Napthine

1.1%

1.2%

49.21%

6.99%

Warrandyte

Phil Honeywood

0.3%

0.7%

43.65%

9.98%

Total Liberal

 

0.5%

0.7%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National Party

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benalla

Bill Sykes

1.6%

2.4%

48.00%

6.16%

Gippsland South

Peter Ryan

2.5%

3.0%

39.20%

11.72%

Lowan

Hugh Delahunty

2.7%

3.5%

32.92%

4.63%

Murray Valley

Ken Jasper

1.6%

2.4%

36.08%

5.52%

Rodney

Noel Maughan

2.5%

4.1%

(1st pref.) 33.58%

4.39%

Shepparton

Jeanette Powell

1.9%

2.4%

(1st pref.)  21.92%

3.29%

Swan Hill

Peter Walsh

3.2%

4.6%

36.44%

5.15%

Total National Party

 

2.3%

3.2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Independents

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gippsland East

Craig Ingram

2.6%

3.2%

(1st pref.)  14.84%

4.56

Mildura

Russel Savage

0.9%

1.2%

(1st pref.)    9.51%

1.74

Total Independents

 

1.8%

2.2%

 

 

Comments and analysis on above Table.

Note: ” Waterfow Identification Tests (WIT) passers” means registered duck shooters

1.  The results presented below are based on the number of Waterfow Identification Tests (WIT) passers (” registered duck shooters ”) for each Victorian postcode as at 15 July, 2005. This information was supplied by the Department of Sustainability & Environment (DSE) and is the only information available to calculate the percentage of duck shooters in House of Assembly electorates.

2.  The total number of registered duck shooters listed for all Victorian postcodes is 21,492 which constitutes only 0.57% of Victorians enrolled to vote as of July 2005.

3.  Some of the WIT holders (registered duck shooters) would be aged between 12 and 18 years, i.e. too young to vote.

4.  Many, if not the majority of the WIT passers are known to be inactive duckshooters.

5.  Because the percentage of WIT passes can only be calculated by using the number of passes for each postcode, considerable doublecounting results as the majority of the postcodes are included in more than one electorate. The total number of WIT passes for that postcode will then be counted in all the electorates overlapped by that postcode, as it is not possible to determine what proportion of the WIT passes for a particular postcode belongs to which electorate overlapped by the postcode.

6.  Because of the postcode overlap between electorates, the total number of WIT passes for the Lower House electorates adds up to 40,153 instead of the actual number of 21,492, i.e. 86% higher. The real number of WIT passes in most electorates is far lower than the figure obtained by adding the WIT passes for each postcode across the electorates. In many cases the actual number is around half, or less, of the figures based on overlapping postcodes.

7.  There is no statistically accurate method of correcting for inflation of the figures caused by the overlap of postcodes between electorates. However, to give some indication of the effects of the overlap, the % of WIT passes in each electorate is presented as a range. The high figure for the range is the inflated result obtained from overlapping postcodes. The lower figure is based on the overlapping WIT numbers being split equally between the overlapped electorates
It is emphasised that this method only provides an approximation of the true results. Nonetheless, the lower 'adjusted' percentage will be closer to the actual % of WIT passes, than the higher figure which is inflated by postcode overlap, as outlined above.

The average % of WIT passes by party is:

ALP

Liberal
National
Independents

approx 0.6 to 1.1%

0.5 to 0.7%
2.3 to 3.2%
1.8 to 2.2%

 

©2005 Impact Data - Site hosted and maintained by Impact Data Pty Ltd 2005 - Site hosted and maintained by Impact Data Pty Ltd