|
Number of Registered Duck Shooters in Victoria as at 15/7/05 by Electorates in the Lower House.
Compiled by ALP Members Opposed to Duck Shooting
(ALP MoDS)
|
Victoria
Lower House
Electorates |
Sitting ALP Member |
% of Duck Shooters
|
% two party preferred ALP vote 2002 |
% Green vote
2002 |
|
ALP Electorates |
|
Possible range
(lower % more accurate) |
|
|
|
Albert Park |
John Thwaites |
0.08% |
0.1% |
62.62% |
17.32% |
|
Altona |
Lynn Kosky |
1.1% |
1.8% |
74.69% |
8.99% |
|
Ballarat East |
Geoff Howard |
1.3% |
2.4% |
57.80% |
13.12% |
|
Ballarat West |
Karen Overington |
0.7% |
1.2% |
59.00% |
6.96% |
|
Bayswater |
Peter Lockwood |
0.5% |
0.9% |
52.75% |
10.16.% |
|
Bellarine |
Lisa Neville |
0.9% |
1.2% |
58.21% |
10.60% |
|
Bendigo East |
Jacinta Allan |
1.2% |
2.3% |
62.96% |
6.66% |
|
Bendigo West |
Bob Cameron |
1.4% |
2.7% |
65.94% |
10.18% |
|
Bentleigh |
Rob Hudson |
0.3% |
0.4% |
54.70% |
9.52% |
|
Broadmeadows |
John Brumby |
0.7% |
1.2% |
80.78% |
4.50% |
|
Brunswick |
Carlo Carli |
0.8% |
1.1% |
78.04% |
24.34% |
|
Bundoora |
Sherryl Garbutt |
0.4% |
0.8% |
67.57% |
9.36% |
|
Burwood |
Bob Stensholt |
0.2% |
0.4% |
55.08% |
11.53% |
|
Carrum |
Jenny Lindell |
0.2% |
0.3% |
62.16% |
10.51% |
|
Clayton |
Hong Lim |
0.5% |
1.0% |
73.84% |
7.81% |
|
Cranbourne |
Jude Perera |
0.4% |
0.7% |
60.79% |
7.84% |
|
Dandenong |
J Pandazopoulos |
0.4% |
0.6% |
70.31% |
6.30% |
|
Derrimut |
Telmo Languiller |
1.1% |
2.2% |
77.30% |
n/a |
|
Eltham |
Steve Herbert |
0.3% |
0.6% |
54.70% |
13.32% |
|
Essendon |
Judy Maddigan |
0.4% |
0.6% |
65.92% |
12.45% |
|
Evelyn |
Heather McTaggart |
0.4% |
0.7% |
50.33% |
8.40% |
|
Ferntree Gully |
Anne Eckstein |
0.2% |
0.5% |
52.31% |
7.72% |
|
Footscray |
Bruce Mildenhall |
0.4% |
0.8% |
74.90% |
10.15% |
|
Forest Hill |
Kristie Marshall |
0.4% |
0.6% |
55.78% |
8.91% |
|
Frankston |
Alistair Harkness |
0.1% |
0.2% |
56.06% |
10.50% |
|
Geelong |
Ian Trezise |
0.8% |
1.7% |
58.10% |
7.35% |
|
Gembrook |
Tammy Lobato |
0.7% |
1.2% |
51.92% |
12.78% |
|
Hastings |
Rosy Buchanan |
0.7% |
1.1% |
50.81% |
9.33% |
|
Ivanhoe |
Craig Langdon |
0.2% |
0.3% |
62.49% |
12.12% |
|
Keilor |
George Seitz |
1.3% |
2.0% |
68.04% |
7.59% |
|
Kilsyth |
Dympna Beard |
0.4% |
0.7% |
52.23% |
10.15% |
|
Kororoit |
Andre Haermeyer |
1.0% |
2.1% |
77.05% |
n/a |
|
Lara |
Peter Loney |
1.2% |
2.1% |
72.34% |
6.71% |
|
Lyndhurst |
Tim Holding |
0.4% |
0.7% |
75.08% |
7.50% |
|
Macedon |
Joanne Duncan |
0.9% |
1.1% |
59.25% |
10.55% |
|
Melbourne |
Bronwyn Pike |
0.1% |
0.2% |
52.34% |
24.21% |
|
Melton |
Don Nardella |
0.8% |
1.4% |
65.32% |
7.40% |
|
Mill Park |
Lily D'Ambrioso |
0.9% |
1.5% |
76.78% |
6.21% |
|
Mitcham |
Tony Robinson |
0.2% |
0.4% |
57.69% |
10.58% |
|
Monbulk |
James Merlino |
0.6% |
1.0% |
57.82% |
15.78% |
|
Mordialloc |
Janice Munt |
0.3% |
0.5% |
54.5% |
10.09% |
|
Morwell |
Brendan Jenkins |
1.8% |
3.2% |
54.96% |
5.89% |
|
Mount Waverley |
Maxine Morand |
0.2% |
0.4% |
52.26% |
8.48% |
|
Mulgrave |
Daniel Andrews |
0.6% |
0.9% |
66.22% |
6.05% |
|
Narracan |
Ian Maxfield |
1.2% |
2.1% |
56.82% |
5.94% |
|
Narre Warren North |
Luke Donnellan |
0.5% |
0.9% |
59.70% |
7.56% |
|
Narre Warren South |
Dale Wilson |
0.4% |
0.8% |
62.60% |
6.06% |
|
Niddrie |
Rob Hulls |
1.0% |
1.8% |
66.60% |
7.27% |
|
Northcote |
Mary Delahunty |
0.5% |
0.6% |
78.32% |
25.41% |
|
Oakleigh |
Ann Barker |
0.4% |
0.8% |
65.21% |
10.82% |
|
Pascoe Vale |
Christine Campbell |
0.5% |
1.0% |
74.20% |
8.85% |
|
Prahran |
Tony Lupton |
0.1% |
0.2% |
54.31% |
18.04% |
|
Preston |
Michael Leighton |
0.6% |
1.1% |
75.75% |
13.34% |
|
Richmond |
Richard Wynne |
0.1% |
0.1% |
75.55% |
28.64% |
|
Ripon |
Joe Helper |
1.7% |
2.9% |
57.43% |
4.75% |
|
Seymour |
Ben Hardman |
0.9% |
1.3% |
59.49% |
9.73% |
|
South Barwon |
Michael Crutchfield |
0.5% |
0.9% |
54.98% |
9.33% |
|
Tarneit |
Mary Gillett |
0.4% |
0.9% |
67.40% |
n/a |
|
Thomastown |
Peter Batchelor |
0.7% |
1.5% |
81.74% |
7.63% |
|
Williamstown |
Steve Bracks |
0.5% |
0.8% |
75.71% |
10.24% |
|
Yan Yean |
Danielle Green |
0.9% |
1.5% |
58.49% |
10.86% |
|
Yuroke |
Liz Beattie |
0.4% |
0.7% |
72.88% |
n/a |
|
Total ALP |
|
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liberal Electorates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bass |
Ken Smith |
1.1% |
1.5% |
49.36% |
5.38% |
|
Benambra |
Tony Plowman |
1.2% |
1.7% |
46.00% |
6.96% |
|
Box Hill |
Robert Clark |
0.2% |
0.4% |
48.81% |
15.70% |
|
Brighton |
Louise Asher |
0.1% |
0.2% |
42.59% |
15.92% |
|
Bulleen |
Nicholas Kotsiras |
0.5% |
0.8% |
47.36% |
10.59% |
|
Caulfield |
Helen Shardey |
0.2% |
0.4% |
47.67% |
15.91% |
|
Doncaster |
Victor Perton |
0.3% |
0.6% |
49.24% |
9.27% |
|
Hawthorn |
Ted Baillieu |
0.1% |
0.2% |
44.30% |
19.81% |
|
Kew |
Andrew McIntosh |
0.2% |
0.4% |
44.06% |
17.37% |
|
Malvern |
Robert Doyle |
0.1% |
0.2% |
39.92% |
13.42% |
|
Mornington |
Robin Cooper |
0.2% |
0.3% |
47.99% |
11.36% |
|
Nepean |
Martin Dixon |
0.4% |
0.4% |
49.84% |
11.34% |
|
Polwarth |
Terry Mulder |
1.6% |
2.2% |
40.47% |
8.81% |
|
Sandringham |
Murray Thompson |
0.2% |
0.4% |
46.97% |
13.04% |
|
Scoresby |
Kim Wells |
0.4% |
0.9% |
46.68% |
7.54% |
|
South West Coast |
Denis Napthine |
1.1% |
1.2% |
49.21% |
6.99% |
|
Warrandyte |
Phil Honeywood |
0.3% |
0.7% |
43.65% |
9.98% |
|
Total Liberal |
|
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
National Party |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benalla |
Bill Sykes |
1.6% |
2.4% |
48.00% |
6.16% |
|
Gippsland South |
Peter Ryan |
2.5% |
3.0% |
39.20% |
11.72% |
|
Lowan |
Hugh Delahunty |
2.7% |
3.5% |
32.92% |
4.63% |
|
Murray Valley |
Ken Jasper |
1.6% |
2.4% |
36.08% |
5.52% |
|
Rodney |
Noel Maughan |
2.5% |
4.1% |
(1st pref.) 33.58% |
4.39% |
|
Shepparton |
Jeanette Powell |
1.9% |
2.4% |
(1st pref.) 21.92% |
3.29% |
|
Swan Hill |
Peter Walsh |
3.2% |
4.6% |
36.44% |
5.15% |
|
Total National Party |
|
2.3% |
3.2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Independents |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gippsland East |
Craig Ingram |
2.6% |
3.2% |
(1st pref.) 14.84% |
4.56 |
|
Mildura |
Russel Savage |
0.9% |
1.2% |
(1st pref.) 9.51% |
1.74 |
|
Total Independents |
|
1.8% |
2.2% |
|
|
Comments and analysis on above Table.
Note: ” Waterfow Identification Tests (WIT) passers” means registered duck shooters
1. The results presented below are based on the number of Waterfow Identification Tests (WIT) passers (” registered duck shooters ”) for each Victorian postcode
as at 15 July, 2005. This information was supplied by the Department of Sustainability & Environment (DSE) and is the only information available to calculate the percentage of duck shooters
in House of Assembly electorates.
2. The total number of registered duck shooters listed for all Victorian postcodes is 21,492 which constitutes only 0.57% of Victorians enrolled to vote as
of July 2005.
3. Some of the WIT holders (registered duck shooters) would be aged between 12 and 18 years, i.e. too young to vote.
4. Many, if not the majority of the WIT passers are known to be inactive duckshooters.
5. Because the percentage of WIT passes can only be calculated by using the number of passes for each postcode, considerable doublecounting results as the
majority of the postcodes are included in more than one electorate. The total number of WIT passes for that postcode will then be counted in all the electorates overlapped by
that postcode, as it is not possible to determine what proportion of the WIT passes for a particular postcode belongs to which electorate overlapped by the postcode.
6. Because of the postcode overlap between electorates, the total number of WIT passes for the Lower House electorates adds up to 40,153 instead of the actual number of 21,492, i.e.
86% higher. The real number of WIT passes in most electorates is far lower than the figure obtained by adding the WIT passes for each postcode across the electorates. In many cases
the actual number is around half, or less, of the figures based on overlapping postcodes.
7. There is no statistically accurate method of correcting for inflation of the figures caused by the overlap of postcodes between electorates. However, to give some indication of
the effects of the overlap, the % of WIT passes in each electorate is presented as a range. The high figure for the range is the inflated result obtained from overlapping postcodes.
The lower figure is based on the overlapping WIT numbers being split equally between the overlapped electorates
It is emphasised that this method only provides an approximation of
the true results. Nonetheless, the lower 'adjusted' percentage will be closer to the actual % of WIT passes, than
the higher figure which is inflated by postcode overlap, as outlined above.
The average % of WIT passes by party is:
ALP
Liberal
National
Independents
|
approx 0.6 to 1.1%
0.5 to 0.7%
2.3 to 3.2%
1.8 to 2.2%
|
|
